Sea-level projections through the 21st century for 1.5°C and 2.0°C scenarios by aggregating spatial projections of individual sea-level components constructed in a probabilistic manner.
More information on the projections is available in Jackson, Grinsted and Jevrejeva (2018).
Please cite the dataset as:
Jackson, L. P., Grinsted, A. and Jevrejeva, S. (2018). “21st Century Sea-Level Rise in Line with the Paris Accord”, Earth’s Future. doi: 10.1002/2017EF000688.
How to use:
Each zip file contains projections of sea-level change (metres) relative to 1986-2005. Global averages are provided in single files, while gridded data is provided in multiple files where each file covers one time slice. Files are tab-separated and a readme file (within each zip file) describes the content of each column.
Contact:
For additional information, queries, and data, please contact the authors: Luke Jackson (luke.jackson@economics.ox.ac.uk).
Data:
| Description | 1.5° | 2.0° | 1.5° [Semi-empirical] | 2.0° [Semi-empirical] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Average |  totga_1p5deg |  totga_2p0deg |  totga_1p5deg_SEM |  totga_2p0deg_SEM |
| Local Sea Level (1-degree grid, includes glacial isostatic adjustment [uplift] | tot_1p5deg | tot_2p0deg | tot_1p5deg_SEM | tot_2p0deg_SEM |
Acknowledgements
Data has been generated as part of a collaborative project with the National Oceanography Centre [NE/P01517/1: “Sea level rise trajectories by 2200 with warmings of 1.5 to 2°C]
